Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000174 0.000193 0.000214 0.000237 0.000264 0.000293 0.000327
2025-04-27 0.000142 0.000170 0.000202 0.000244 0.000294 0.000355 0.000435
2025-05-04 0.000119 0.000151 0.000190 0.000243 0.000312 0.000402 0.000528
2025-05-11 0.000105 0.000139 0.000183 0.000245 0.000332 0.000452 0.000630
2025-05-18 0.000093 0.000127 0.000174 0.000243 0.000345 0.000491 0.000723
2025-05-25 0.000084 0.000118 0.000167 0.000241 0.000356 0.000529 0.000817
2025-06-01 0.000076 0.000110 0.000159 0.000238 0.000364 0.000562 0.000908
2025-06-08 0.000068 0.000100 0.000149 0.000230 0.000362 0.000579 0.000974
2025-06-15 0.000063 0.000096 0.000147 0.000233 0.000379 0.000627 0.001100
2025-06-22 0.000060 0.000093 0.000146 0.000237 0.000399 0.000683 0.001249
2025-06-29 0.000055 0.000087 0.000139 0.000232 0.000401 0.000707 0.001340
2025-07-06 0.000050 0.000080 0.000130 0.000222 0.000392 0.000711 0.001390
2025-07-13 0.000047 0.000077 0.000128 0.000223 0.000406 0.000760 0.001548
2025-07-20 0.000045 0.000075 0.000127 0.000228 0.000427 0.000828 0.001761
2025-07-27 0.000042 0.000071 0.000124 0.000227 0.000437 0.000875 0.001934
2025-08-03 0.000040 0.000069 0.000122 0.000229 0.000454 0.000937 0.002158
2025-08-10 0.000037 0.000066 0.000118 0.000227 0.000462 0.000983 0.002351
2025-08-17 0.000035 0.000063 0.000115 0.000226 0.000470 0.001029 0.002554
2025-08-24 0.000033 0.000060 0.000111 0.000223 0.000475 0.001068 0.002746
2025-08-31 0.000030 0.000056 0.000106 0.000215 0.000467 0.001077 0.002857
2025-09-07 0.000029 0.000055 0.000105 0.000217 0.000485 0.001150 0.003170
2025-09-14 0.000028 0.000054 0.000105 0.000222 0.000507 0.001240 0.003554
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000051 0.000101 0.000217 0.000506 0.001268 0.003751